Cardinals Sign 16 Undrafted Free Agents/Release 2 OG's --
Tues.
April 30, 2013 - The Cardinals released starting right guard
Adam Snyder and backup guard Jeremiah Warren to make room for 25
draftees and undrafted free agent signees. (By my count, the
number of new rookies represents 27.7% of the total 90-man
preseason roster). Snyder (a veteran brought over from the Niners)
had been the target of fan criticism during the past year (The
Cardinals had brought in new rookie blood a year ago to shore up
the offensive tackle position and drafted two highly regarded
rookie guards in Cooper and Watford who were expected to
contribute right away.
All told among the rookie UDFA and draft crop, the Cardinals added
2 running backs, 6 wide receivers, a tight end, 4 offfensive
linemen, one DT, 5 linebackers and 6 DB's to the roster.
Tidbits of interest - UDFA's to watch - Jarod Brown (who was part
of a potent Clemson receiving corps). NT Padric Scott from FAMU.
OT Jamal Johnson-Webb who dominated at a small school (Alabama
A&M). The Oklahoma Sooner deep patrol tandem of Tony Jefferson and
Javon Harris. Michael Rios is a rare pro prospect of Cuban
descent. Incidently, twe signed two "Javons" - Lawson the WR
and Harris the S.
So How'd We Do?
--
Sun. April 28, 2012 -- This is
the burning question we all have when we arise from our
morning-after comas. And what do we do? We reach for the sports
section of our local daily or Google all the football sites to see
what everybody else is saying about us. I say "hogwash!" The media
seldom has a clue; and besides, everyone knows that "it takes 3
years yada yada yada". (If you believe that one, deliver it to Rod
Graves with his early morning coffee and bagel). For a fairly
effective way to get a quick, "down & dirty" evaluation of the
Cardinal Draft, try Dr. Gollin'sPost Draft Hangover Cure. It
removes the temptation to make morning-after rationalizations for
sucky draft decisions by comparing (a) where they were actually
picked with (b) how we had them rated prior to the draft. (One
note of caution - each of us will, no doubt have different-looking
boards, and this will affect our assessments of the value of each
player). That said, here's mine:
-
Johnathan Cooper G - #7 Pick. #4 on Pre Draft
Board. (Fair Value)
-
Kevin Minter ILB
- #45 Pick. #87 on Pre Draft Board. (Not-So-Hot Value)
-
Tyrann Mathieu DB
- #69 Pick. #107 on Pre Draft Board. (Not-So-Hot Value)
-
Alex Okafor OLB -
#103 Pick. #51on Pre Draft Board. Excellent Value)
-
Earl Watford G -
#116 Pick. #84 on Pre Draft Board. Very Good Value)
-
Stepfan Taylor RB
- #140 Pick. #161 on Pre Draft Board. (Slightly overdrafted
and Meh Value)
-
Ryan Swope WR -
#174 Pick. #103 on Pre Draft Board. (Excellent Value)
-
Andre Ellington RB
- #187 Pick. #115 on Pre Draft Board. (Excellent Value)
-
DC Jefferson TE
- #219 Pick. Not Listed on 197 Player Pre Draft Board. (Value
Unknown)
Conclusion - After Cooper, we reached a
little for Minter and Mathieu, but after that, racked up
good-value after good-value for the balance of the draft. Solely
on that basis (i.e. & not factoring in any "need" or "my board is
better than your board" issues) I'd grade our draft as Very Good.
(& as good as you'll get, since no NFL team, to my knowledge, is
100% perfect in consistently drafting for high-value). All in all,
a very nice job by S Keim in his first draft as Cardinal GM. Way
to go!
It Happens Every Draft - -
Tues. April
23, 2012 -- There's always one guy you never heard of who leaps up
the draft boards at the last minute to surprise everyone. This
year is no exception - So yesterday evening, I'm half dozed-off in
front of the teevee, memorized by the crawl at the bottom of the
NFL Network screen and happen to to notice that the #1 cornerback
on Mike Mayock's draft board is not Dee Milliner. Instead, it's
some guy I never heard of named "Hayden." That got my attention.
Hmmm. I checked the BRS Cornerback
prospect list. Maybe I had him listed as a marginal player rated
lower than #15. Nope, the dude just didn't seem to exist. Later
that evening, analyzing his latest mock draft, Mayock made mention
of the "metioric rise of DJ Hayden.
It turns out that Hayden was a highly rated corner who, after a
routine practice, absorbed what was thought to be a routine hit.
It wasn't. He nearly severed an artery leading to his heart, and
his life was saved by emergency surgery. He was lucky to be alive,
let alone be in any kind of condition to work out prior to the
draft. But he did just that, running under 4.42 (someone had him
unofficially 4.33) during his pro day and being considered
medically cleared. Until then, it was assumed that the only corner
worthy of a top 10 - 15 pick would be Milliner. If a couple of
GM's agree with Mayock that Hayden is worth drafting ahead of
Milliner (whose shoulder is rumored to be healing slower than
expected) it could upset the domino effect at the top of the
draft.
(Note regarding player write-ups - I got lazy this year and have
left the order of players the same as the way they were ranked
back in late-January. Accurate player rankings can be found on my
Player Ranking Master Chart and Master
Draft Board. Use them to determine where each player is
ranked, but go to the player write-ups by position for more
detailed analyses).
Revis Deal Could Change Top of Draft - -
Mon. April
22, 2012 -- Trading Darrelle Revis to the Buccos gives the Jets a
#13 pick to go with their #9. This gives the Jets many options;
the most likely two being to (1) keep the picks or (2) use one or
both to trade up higher in the first round in order to replace
Revis with the top CB in the draft, Milliner. Each time a team
ahead of the Cardinals drafts a pass rusher (Jones or Jordan),
corner (Milliner) or D-lineman (Lotuleilei or Floyd) means
the more likely a top O-lineman like Fisher, Johnson, Warmack or
Cooper (or Fluker?) will drop into the Cardinals' lap at #7. Just
thought you might want to know.
8 Days Out - -
Thurs. April
18, 2013
--Things are still pretty quiet. One bit of conventional wisdom
that seems to be settling in is that the Cardinals are highly
likely to either take an offensive lineman or a pass rusher with
their #7 pick. (There are 5 linemen - Joeckel, Fisher, Lane
Johnson, Warmack and Cooper - considered "top 7" prospects and 2
or 3 pass rushers - D Jordan, J Jones and Mingo - mentioned as top
7 material). Where it gets dicey is trying to predict which of
these guys will fall to us at #7; especially when you add
additional players that other top 6 teams might be interested in -
like Star Lotuleilei, Shariff Floyd, Geno Smith or even Tavon
Austin. Things could go in any direction (including a couple of
trades). Buckle up your chin straps.
NFL schedule will be released tonight at 8:00 pm ET. One thing we
know already - the only away games that could remotely be
considered "snow games" if scheduled after Halloween, would be
Seattle (extremely unlikely). San Francisco (equally as unlikely)
and Philadelphia (mensa-mensa - pray that we play them in the
Fall).
Reading between the lines, it looks like Josh Cribbs' next
physical will be scheduled a week or two after the Draft.
Quiet Before the Storm? --
Mon. April 15, 2013 -- There's
only one more weekend between now and Draft Day. Usually by now,
there's a flurry of rumors. Not so much this year., with most of
the rumors involving free agent signings which could have a domino
effect on how teams draft. Most of the FA activites involve
one-year non-guaranteed contracts, with the veterans involved
possibly serving as "roster place-holders" in case a team fails to
fill a particular position via the draft.
A lot of attention has been paid to the visits made by
players to team HQ's, but it's tough to read any tea-leaves,
because the same players are visiting everyone everywhere.
Different teams use player visits differently - The Cardinals have
interviewed just 20 prospects in Tempe (ranging from such
high-profile prospects as Dion Jordan and Ziggy Ansah and 6 of the
top QB prospects). Yet no offensive linemen have, to our
knowledge, been interviewed in the Valley suggesting that the
Cards did most of their research earlier (interviewing some
players at the combine and pro days) and are using the
AZ-interviews to fill in gaps in a player's resume. By contrast,
the Eagles have interviewed over 65 prospects and the norm for
most teams is somewhere around 40. My advice - Use the interview
list to cherry-pick a few below-the-radar guys
who visited the Valley (like Kniles
Davis, Markus Wheaton or the TE Kasa) as "persons of interest",
but I wouldn't read anything more into this.
The lack of rumors and gossip leading up to the draft seems to
have affected the folks at NFL Network, who more and more are
filling up their vacant air time with Top 100 and All Time lists
of best players, best plays, weirdest coaches, worst weather...ad
nauseum. Memo to the suits at NFLN - The draft is pretty
interesting; how about focusing more on players, teams, coaches
and front offices (Here's a bright idea - you've already set up
fantasy "war rooms" for each team. How about setting up fantasy
meetings in those war rooms within the context of a giant 1, 2 or
3-round mock draft.)?
The Draft - Two Weekends Out --
Sat. April 13,
2013 -
Another year
has passed and the draft is almost upon us, but this draft is
different in several ways: The Cards have a new GM and a new
coaching staff with a different agenda and different views and
policies toward winning. When there's stability in your
organization, it becomes easier to read the minds of the key
decision-makers (because you've seen them in action over a year,
two years or three). You get a kind of 6th-sense about what
Management considers "important" or what kind of players they
prefer at various positions. Although Coach Arians and Steve Keim
have seemed pretty forthright in making their views known, there's
a tendency for NFL front offices to...er..."end the truth" more
and more as they get closer to Draft Day. We'll just have to let
their actions speak for themselves.
It's a confusing draft, because the teams with the top 5 or 10
picks have been pretty close-mouthed. (Usually by now, the team
with the #1 pick will usually state it's intention and set the
tone for the next few picks in the draft. The silence coming out
of KC is deafening). The way it looks to me is that the Top 7
picks could very likely include 5 offensive linemen (Joeckel,
Fisher, L Johnson, Warmack and Cooper) a couple of edge rushers
(Jordan or Ansah), one or two nose tackles (Lotuleilei and Floyd)
and possibly QB Geno Smith. By my count, that's 10 players any of
who could go in the the top 7 (Make that 11 if you include
Cardinal Fan Flavor of the Week, Barkevious Mingo.
Right now, I'd guess the odds are 60% the Cards - at #7 - will
take an offensive linemen, 25% they'll draft an edge rusher, 5%
they'll draft Lotuleilei and 10% they'll trade down no more than 3
or 4 spots.
Having been a long-time draft follower (I used to attend the draft
regularly in the 1960's, 70's and 80's) , a few cautionary
observations:
First, if you're participating in any mock draft contests, wait to
complete your entry until the latest possible moment before
deadline - for two reasons: (1) you don't want to be sandbagged by
last-minute trades and (2) the local beat-writers often obtain
last-minute insider information from the clubs they cover and from
fellow beat-writers in other NFL cities. (It's always hilarious to
see a flurry of mock draft activity on Draft Day where the same
obscure defensive tackle from East Armpit State suddenly shows up
on everyone's mocks somewhere around the 24th pick.
Second, if you enjoy putting together a 7-round mock for the
Cardsor any other team that claims to use a Best Player Available
(BPA) approach to the draft, prepare to be both (a) disappointed
(because, during the course of the draft, a few players rated
higher by the Cardinals will invariably fall through the cracks
(because the boards of other teams are nowhere close to being
identical) . But also be prepared to be overjoyed (because if the
Cards are true to their board, they'll snap those guys up as
"steals" rather than drafting along the logical lines of the mock
draft scenario). This, by the way, is one method successful
franchises use to regularly upgrade the talent-level of their
rosters (They faithfully draft higher value players than projected
for each pick.